When it comes to the NBA draft, getting things right can be hard.
It's no wonder that scouts are paid hundreds of thousands of dollars a year to research potential prospects for the entire year, year in and year out, as one player is capable of changing the direction of a franchise for a very long time.
With that being said, scouts cannot predict the future, and just because players get drafted in the top three, doesn't necessarily mean they are going to be the best three players from that draft class. In fact, I'd hazard to guess that more All-Star talent has come from the 4-9 draft pick range than the 1-3 picks.
Let's have a look at some of the players drafted number two overall since Durant's arrival to the NBA.
Michael Beasley -- Thought to be the second-best player in 2008 behind Derrick Rose, has bounced between the NBA and international leagues.
Hasheem Thabeet -- One of the biggest draft busts ever considering the talent taken after him in the 2009 draft.
Evan Turner -- Was mediocre for the 76ers and never lived up to his potential.
Derrick Williams -- Bounced around the league, playing for five teams in total.
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist -- Still young enough to become a borderline All-Star, but his shooting needs a major overhaul.
Victor Oladipo -- Has the potential to become an All-Star being the focal point in Indiana.
Jabari Parker -- Could become a multiple All-Star down the road, but injuries are a big concern.
D'Angelo Russell -- In the same boat as Oladipo, could become an All-Star given the opportunity in Brooklyn.
Brandon Ingram -- Was touted as the next KD, but hasn't exactly shown signs of the comparison just yet.
Lonzo Ball -- Way too early to tell, but given his skillset, if he can get his shooting woes in order, should become a multiple All-Star given his brand and popularity in LA already.
Before Durant, LaMarcus Aldridge, who was drafted the year prior, was the latest All-Star drafted at number 2.
Given that the number 2 pick isn't as much of a sure thing as many people percieve it to be, it'll be extremely surprising if each of the past 5 #2 picks all become All-Stars in their careers, as all of them definitely have the potential to do so -- the only reason being, history has not been kind to number 2 picks.