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Guesstimates of LeBron passing each person in front of him in All Time scoring as of today

LeBron James Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

LeBron James is currently 10th All Time after tonight's game with 26,970 points. He's behind the following players by the amounts:

  • 1) Kareem Abdul-Jabbar - 11,417
  • 2) Karl Malone - 9,958
  • 3) Kobe Bryant - 6,673
  • 4) Michael Jordan - 5,322
  • 5) Wilt Chamberlain - 4,449
  • 6) Dirk Nowitzki - 2,557
  • 7) Shaquille O'Neal - 1,626
  • 8) Moses Malone - 439
  • 9) Elvin Hayes - 343

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Two seasons ago, LeBron James had 1,743 points in 69 games. Last season, he was at 1,920 points at 76 games. Assuming LeBron continues trending at what he currently is at, he'll have around 1,658 points through 74 games. But I suspect LeBron will slightly raise his average up by seasons end so let's finish it off with 1750 points through 74 games which would equate to around 23.64 PPG. This is what he'll take to have to pass them at this pace:

He'll pass the following at this time:

  • 1) Kareem Abdul-Jabbar - Age 39, 21st season in the NBA (Around January 2023)
  • 2) Karl Malone - Age 38, 20th season in the NBA (Around January-February 2022)
  • 3) Kobe Bryant - Age 36, 18th season in the NBA (Around March-April 2020)
  • 4) Michael Jordan - Age 35-36, 18th season in the NBA (around December 2020)
  • 5) Wilt Chamberlain - Age 35, 17th season in the NBA (Around January 2019)
  • 6) Dirk Nowitzki - Age 34-34, 16th season in the NBA (Around December 2018)
  • 7) Shaquille O'Neal - Age 32, 14th season in the NBA (Around April 1, 2017)
  • 8) Moses Malone - Age 31, 14th season in the NBA (Around December 4th, 2016)
  • 9) Elvin Hayes - Age 31, 14th season in the NBA (Around November 28th, 2016 )
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Now, realistically speaking, I doubt he can keep up the 1750 points a season after age 35. At 35, he'd be in his 16th season in the NBA and only 1 player in NBA history averaged over 23.6 PPG in his 16th+ year (Kobe Bryant). So let's estimate that total drops to 1550 points through 74 games (which comes out to around 20.9 PPG) AFTER his 16th season.

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So we'll keep his averages the same from Elvin Hayes to Dirk Nowitzki. Let's see how he'll go with the new averages from Wilt Chamberlain to Kareem. Going by the former estimation, after his 16th season, he'd be at 30,345 points. Here are the new totals from there:

  • 1) Kareem Abdul-Jabbar - 8,842
  • 2) Karl Malone - 6,583
  • 3) Kobe Bryant - 3,298
  • 4) Michael Jordan - 1,947
  • 5) Wilt Chamberlain - 1,074

From beginning of season in 2019, 35:

  • 1) Kareem Abdul-Jabbar - Age 41, 23rd season in the NBA (Around November 2025)
  • 2) Karl Malone - Age 40, 22nd season in the NBA (Around December 2024)
  • 3) Kobe Bryant - Age 38, 20th season in the NBA (around November 2022)
  • 4) Michael Jordan - Age 37, 19th season in the NBA (around November 2021)
  • 5) Wilt Chamberlain - Age 36, 17th season in the NBA (Around February 2019)

Now, I know that guesstimate might be on the lower end so take it as a safety guess. More than likely, he'll follow the above trend but I just posted it as a cautious approach. There's most likely some errors on the years cause years are confusing but should be mostly right.

Credit my friend: xxStayFly81xx

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